OBJECTIVES / PURPOSE

We are seeking a forecasting-oriented Senior Analyst to join Takeda's GCC Commercial Analytics & Insights (CA&I;) organization in India as part of the Forecasting capability supporting International Business Units (IBU). This individual contributor role is responsible for building, maintaining, and evolving multiple forecast types across Ex-US markets, including short-term in-market demand forecasts, long-term strategic forecasts, patient-based epidemiology forecasts, and launch and event scenarios in partnership with affiliate forecasting leads. The Senior Analyst is accountable for forecast model integrity, assumption discipline, and the business relevance of outputs delivered into brand planning, S&OP;, and portfolio cycles.
ACCOUNTABILITIES
- Forecast Model Development and Delivery: Build and maintain a portfolio of forecasts across multiple IBU markets and brands, spanning short-term tactical forecasts (24-36 months), long-term strategic forecasts (10+ years), in-line product forecasts, and pre-launch and launch forecasts.




- Apply the appropriate forecast methodology to each business question, including patient-based (epidemiology, prevalence, incidence, treatment flow, persistence, compliance, share) approaches, demand-based (trend, time-series, curve fitting, regression, exponential smoothing) approaches, and hybrid models that integrate both.
- Conduct scenario and sensitivity analyses for market events, competitive entries, LOEs, pricing changes, indication expansions, and access scenarios across IBU geographies.
- Maintain rigorous assumption documentation, version control, and audit trails for every forecast cycle, supporting reproducibility and review by affiliate and global stakeholders.
- Track forecast accuracy across cycles, perform variance analyses against actuals, and translate learnings into improved drivers and assumptions for the next cycle.
- Data, Methodology, and Tooling: Work with IQVIA MIDAS, local audit data, syndicate

📌 Senior Analyst, Forecasting (Bengaluru)
🏢 Shire
📍 Bengaluru